A few years ago, Cornman found a way around the problem. In the U.S., commercial flights served by air-traffic control—some twenty-seven thousand a day—are required to transmit their position, altitude, and velocity. By tracking those transmissions and the planes’ motions over time, a new program that Cornman developed at NCAR can create a moment-by-moment snapshot of turbulence as it’s happening. The F.A.A. is planning to test the program this year. Together with NCAR’s earlier software, Sharman’s forecasting models, and data from radar arrays on the ground, this system could start to give pilots the advance warning they need. “That is the future for me,” Cornman said. “All these operations get integrated in a seamless network. The pilots don’t have to talk to air-traffic control and say, ‘Should I go up or down?’ They just get a display with a color-coded flight track on it. And they see that it looks better a few thousand feet up.”
替代供應在量上目前仍然能頂上，但支撐它的每一個環節都在承受更大的壓力——委內瑞拉渠道被切斷，伊朗捲入戰火，俄羅斯被制裁的廣度和力度正在快速升級。折扣紅利還在，但獲取它的代價，正在以肉眼可見的速度累積。
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«Ормузский пролив не закрыт, несмотря на заявление Корпуса стражей исламской революции. Иран не патрулирует пролив, и пока нет никаких признаков минирования», — отметила она.